Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed061b349274872d3aa1731be5666e35c84b4db49e6bc9dc73f4b77babd0af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof Miami (FL), Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh | 75c | 2,092$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Miami (FL) | 25c | 656.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Miami (FL) | 13c | 583$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Miami (FL) | 13c | 434.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Miami (FL) | 6c | 241.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…63d5backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…da64backed Miami (FL) | 14c | 139$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…b626backed Miami (FL) | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…770ebacked Miami (FL) | 18c | 109.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…04fabacked Miami (FL) | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed Miami (FL) | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…45f2backed Miami (FL) | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3ab2backed Miami (FL) | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…0225backed Miami (FL) | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…244dbacked Miami (FL) | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b305backed Miami (FL) | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…77f0backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…c00abacked Pittsburgh | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a60…2f78backed Miami (FL) | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…bca3backed Miami (FL) | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…1f61backed Miami (FL) | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…a306backed Pittsburgh | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…72fdbacked Pittsburgh | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…8cd5backed Pittsburgh | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…11babacked Pittsburgh | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.