Tennis · resolved market
ITF Castelo Branco: Maxwell Mckennon vs Pablo Perez Ramos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f287eb51b0fc4e02b82771d3c1fa1417f571752e915653c514567fc012659eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Perez Ramosof Maxwell Mckennon, Pablo Perez Ramos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 45c | 532.28$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxwell Mckennon | 55c | 239.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maxwell Mckennon | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maxwell Mckennon | 26c | 79.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maxwell Mckennon | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Maxwell Mckennon | 57c | 58.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…3bfebacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 48c | 55.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maxwell Mckennon | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Maxwell Mckennon | 51c | 48.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Maxwell Mckennon | 59c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Maxwell Mckennon | 60c | 25.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.