Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Timofey Skatov vs Calvin Hemery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3dc3d64222c3658fe1040a3f3c4bbdd9c1ec788deff4b02d4923698187fa14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skatovof Skatov, Hemery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hemery | 54c | 226.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Skatov | 45c | 224.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hemery | 12c | 156.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…6765backed Hemery | 64c | 129.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Hemery | 11c | 122.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Skatov | 77c | 109$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hemery | 26c | 105.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Skatov | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hemery | 37c | 102.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hemery | 55c | 92.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Hemery | 42c | 84.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Skatov | 51c | 82.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Hemery | 53c | 52.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Hemery | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Hemery | 52c | 46.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hemery | 52c | 44.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Skatov | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Hemery | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Skatov | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Skatov | 50c | 35.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hemery | 46c | 34.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Skatov | 58c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Skatov | 46c | 25.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Skatov | 78c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Hemery | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Hemery | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.