Cricket · resolved market
T20 Thailand Open: Thailand vs Japan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f4eb738d6b1329700e0b2b1568ff3552b7526aa15054d61cbc969a7423c63b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Thailand, Japan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81d7…2149backed Thailand | 21c | 3,429$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Japan | 75c | 1,517$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.04 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thailand | 20c | 1,448$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thailand | 18c | 1,448$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Thailand | 21c | 1,260$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.88 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Japan | 77c | 457.57$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Thailand | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Japan | 76c | 374.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Japan | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Thailand | 24c | 189.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Thailand | 22c | 163.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Thailand | 22c | 135.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Japan | 74c | 128.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thailand | 23c | 123.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Japan | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Japan | 75c | 102.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Thailand | 22c | 102.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…723fbacked Japan | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Japan | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Thailand | 28c | 75.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Japan | 77c | 68.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Japan | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…e905backed Thailand | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…0d11backed Japan | 79c | 61.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Japan | 76c | 40.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Japan | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Japan | 67c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Japan | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.