La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7d56ba32645dbc5d76b3da5ce31328db50bc022a29d6bdabb35f15b91fc2f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 2,718$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.04 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,515$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 77c | 525.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 56c | 520.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 32c | 357.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 314.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 30c | 296.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…b21ebacked Under | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 263.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 168.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 159.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 77c | 125.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 56c | 86.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…364fbacked Under | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 50.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 45c | 42.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 28c | 38.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 56c | 34.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 33.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 45c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 55c | 20.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 78c | 16.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.