MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa22c95dd3309dae07b738273d1285949de10a9ba2268a114a65708b66937fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 4,762$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.81 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,830$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.93 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 1,500$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.34 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 624.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.18 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 507.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 425.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 348$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 146.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 124.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 93.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 72.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 54.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 47.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 38.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 37.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.