Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7faf892af72e0921badbd9c773020192b2e56da5b92525756c639219d9a72710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 4,150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 1,946$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 1,366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 1,311$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.04 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 1,135$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 1,007$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.93 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 590.56$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 436$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked VP.Prodigy | 15c | 306.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3600backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 201.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 118.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 109$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 87.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 67.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 50.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5812…3e4ebacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.