Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa231f39fbbce0888adfb9260e61a327743e16cb68098ba8d7efd734ede6e3bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 4,335$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.99 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 1,522$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 1,000$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 700$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 687.07$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.73 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 601.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 584.43$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 408.76$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 364.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 176.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…56b6backed VP.Prodigy | 8c | 129.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 125.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 36.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…2407backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)Zero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.