CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc7008dadbf8d98795bf5ab998c8d63313ab47d89a66d89a1e4f869dfea475b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 9,921$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.46 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Walczaki | 33c | 2,721$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Walczaki | 38c | 2,260$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.4 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 1,953$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.63 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Walczaki | 32c | 1,802$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.53 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Walczaki | 32c | 724$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 26c | 716$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Walczaki | 34c | 631.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Walczaki | 32c | 630$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Walczaki | 33c | 520$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Walczaki | 21c | 502$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Walczaki | 32c | 483.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Walczaki | 34c | 482$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Walczaki | 33c | 362.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 36c | 314.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 301.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Walczaki | 32c | 287$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Walczaki | 32c | 286.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 214.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Walczaki | 32c | 203.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 183.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Walczaki | 36c | 164.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Walczaki | 32c | 162.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Walczaki | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked Walczaki | 39c | 127.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 100.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Walczaki | 33c | 81.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki | 21c | 80.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Walczaki | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Walczaki | 41c | 73.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 63.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Walczaki | 32c | 56.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…e901backed Walczaki | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Walczaki | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed Walczaki | 35c | 42.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Walczaki | 38c | 41.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 28c | 39.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 22.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group CGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.