CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a6ca01c5978611ec58f68a1ef39d79d9323e83cf76fcda0df3f3261380fbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.95 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Walczaki | 34c | 4,486$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.94 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 3,102$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 2,891$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 1,966$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.33 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Walczaki | 27c | 390.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 28c | 312$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 32c | 285$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Walczaki | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 23c | 197.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 178.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 157$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked Walczaki | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 11c | 123$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed Walczaki | 29c | 96.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Walczaki | 29c | 85.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 27c | 60.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 58.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Walczaki | 30c | 46.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Gentle Mates | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 45.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 43.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 32.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Walczaki | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 27.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Walczaki | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group CGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.