Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Lautaro Correa Beguerie vs Santiago Pesino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80068f5edca0eff6b8cc520957170c2ad46d0b7e259219c1365ea2c2a1df8143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lautaro Correa Beguerieof Lautaro Correa Beguerie, Santiago Pesino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 61c | 1,807$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Santiago Pesino | 19c | 905.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Santiago Pesino | 38c | 693.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Santiago Pesino | 41c | 375$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 9c | 320.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.66 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 73c | 249.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Santiago Pesino | 44c | 225.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Santiago Pesino | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Santiago Pesino | 12c | 175.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 78c | 145.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Santiago Pesino | 9c | 141.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 76c | 127.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Santiago Pesino | 12c | 107.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 73c | 64.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lautaro Correa Beguerie | 80c | 51.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Lautaro Correa Beguerie vs Santiago Pesinothis page
- ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Lautaro Correa Beguerie vs Santiago PesinoYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.