Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Junlu Sun vs Chengyiyi Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802d6eb6226164a3639cbaba0a642675d7b5d1a8257d10f251720a10b2ec2ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chengyiyi Yuanof Junlu Sun, Chengyiyi Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Junlu Sun | 20c | 4,100$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.6 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Junlu Sun | 8c | 3,586$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Junlu Sun | 19c | 2,161$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.15 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Junlu Sun | 19c | 1,791$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Junlu Sun | 19c | 1,782$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.77 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Junlu Sun | 19c | 1,754$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.81 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Junlu Sun | 18c | 1,752$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Junlu Sun | 19c | 1,688$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.67 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Junlu Sun | 13c | 1,298$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Junlu Sun | 19c | 774.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Junlu Sun | 13c | 244$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…206abacked Junlu Sun | 14c | 239.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Junlu Sun | 19c | 207.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.