Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803c1bfa483309e711a86d5d5b8a6081215c2da366c81d452288b6e5f61e4ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 809.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 223.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 174.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 160.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 149.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 58c | 148.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 122$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 99.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 85.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 84.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 37c | 65.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 62.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 56.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 42.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 36.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.