CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8047ce4b0e0b4806d9fffe46f177cf4a05d0a18605088ca730cc8ca4b462d6b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Falcons Force | 21c | 4,122$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.04 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BESTIA | 72c | 3,683$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.12 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Falcons Force | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 70c | 2,835$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.23 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Falcons Force | 39c | 2,451$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.59 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BESTIA | 68c | 2,288$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Falcons Force | 23c | 1,235$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 21c | 1,222$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked BESTIA | 77c | 1,147$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Falcons Force | 22c | 925.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Falcons Force | 23c | 908.61$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 23c | 803.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed Falcons Force | 23c | 688.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 28c | 570.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA | 77c | 352.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Falcons Force | 15c | 240.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Falcons Force | 23c | 222.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Falcons Force | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed BESTIA | 77c | 192.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Falcons Force | 27c | 169.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Falcons Force | 24c | 156.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed BESTIA | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BESTIA | 78c | 115.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed BESTIA | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Falcons Force | 16c | 76.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…2cc3backed BESTIA | 66c | 74.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Falcons Force | 29c | 72.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Falcons Force | 28c | 65.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Falcons Force | 22c | 63.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Falcons Force | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Falcons Force | 22c | 49.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Falcons Force | 30c | 34.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BESTIA | 73c | 33.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed BESTIA | 78c | 31.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked BESTIA | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked BESTIA | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed BESTIA | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked BESTIA | 78c | 23.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed BESTIA | 79c | 22.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed BESTIA | 78c | 22.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.