CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807320c696ac36c3b7c8a4aa2d34bc759e6eb155018b906af96963bdd44c0ebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof BESTIA Academy, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BESTIA Academy | 46c | 3,337$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.54 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MAGICOS | 55c | 2,147$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA Academy | 56c | 901.23$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MAGICOS | 53c | 700$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed BESTIA Academy | 47c | 508.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MAGICOS | 53c | 506.57$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked BESTIA Academy | 48c | 487.24$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MAGICOS | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked MAGICOS | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked MAGICOS | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MAGICOS | 41c | 239.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed MAGICOS | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed MAGICOS | 38c | 192$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MAGICOS | 56c | 180.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked MAGICOS | 55c | 177$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MAGICOS | 53c | 164.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MAGICOS | 46c | 161.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 151$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed MAGICOS | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked BESTIA Academy | 58c | 86.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked BESTIA Academy | 58c | 86.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed MAGICOS | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MAGICOS | 57c | 39.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MAGICOS | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MAGICOS | 55c | 31.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BESTIA Academy | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed MAGICOS | 48c | 29.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked BESTIA Academy | 63c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed MAGICOS | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.