South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808b9446648c0cca271594df2986a63275d5d1ff1b112a94009af9e2523f19be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Under | 1c | 7,410$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 40c | 1,606$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…a3e9backed Under | 60c | 1,080$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 684.27$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.53 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 61c | 499.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 39c | 325.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.29 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 72.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 60c | 67.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 52.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 39c | 44.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 36c | 38.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 55c | 33.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,271 | 56%712 W · 559 L | +71.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 454 | 52.9%240 W · 214 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 57c | 26.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.