Fifa International · resolved market
Ali Olwan: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b82582a3c1bd84c4d7ddb234b5e7452c69b46cdf70d07fd37996950598a1df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 80c | 685.34$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 388.45$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…992abacked Yes | 22c | 343.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 20c | 255.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 20c | 253.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 10c | 249.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 11c | 93.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…2b6ebacked Yes | 22c | 50.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…9f2fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…6470backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…104bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ali Olwan: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ali Olwan: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ali Olwan: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ali Olwan: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsYes won
- Amine Gouiri: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shotsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shotsNo won
- Mousa Ta'mari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mousa Ta'mari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mousa Ta'mari: 2+ shotsYes won
- Mousa Ta'mari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mousa Ta'mari: 3+ shotsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assistsYes won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.