TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
North Florida Ospreysof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, North Florida Ospreys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,271 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed North Florida Ospreys51c9,000$4,590 inWon+$4,41036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c8,341$4,087 inLost-$4,087.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed North Florida Ospreys50c1,500$750 inWon+$75012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Florida Ospreys50c1,106$553 inWon+$553.082,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c1,050$525 inLost-$52556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c755$378 inLost-$377.574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c750$375 inLost-$37574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c334.69$164 inLost-$16425049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c164$80 inLost-$80.361,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c100$49 inLost-$4911051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c60$29 inLost-$29.42,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c40$20 inLost-$209035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles48c37$18 inLost-$17.765639.3%22 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed North Florida Ospreys52c27$14 inWon+$12.962450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.