Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8152117682fa47ea2154b435c89d26bf0152eb2f33a72f764bb41853cdaa43cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnipiac Bobcatsof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Quinnipiac Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 18c | 999.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 13c | 812.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 73c | 360$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 16c | 221.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 29c | 197.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 19c | 173.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 23c | 113.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 10c | 107.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 15c | 101.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 82.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 79c | 81.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 77.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 80c | 55.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 73c | 47.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 75c | 46.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…e40bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsthis page
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-10.5)Quinnipiac Bobcats won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-8.5)Quinnipiac Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.