Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81579e62b63e7251bf3ba6f84d0ed06eebe22728727d5344149da4c1a51c9e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 53c | 13,441$7,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.54 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.49 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 939.23$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 47c | 427.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 307.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 47c | 137.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 133.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 54c | 130.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 50.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 39.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 37.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 54c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 164.5this page
- Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida OspreysNorth Florida Ospreys won
- Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 163.5Over won
- Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-2.5)North Florida Ospreys won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-6.5)North Florida Ospreys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.