Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Emon Van Loben Sels vs Noah Zamora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8160c37d3a3f01b86aa62cc25d6d16a398a05b77b19e743be7c3fa37a1749a45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noah Zamoraof Emon Van Loben Sels, Noah Zamora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noah Zamora | 43c | 5,717$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 61c | 3,997$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.62 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 56c | 2,821$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Noah Zamora | 36c | 1,742$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.67 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noah Zamora | 64c | 309.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Noah Zamora | 41c | 227.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Noah Zamora | 50c | 191.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…6d0abacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 63c | 140.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Noah Zamora | 37c | 113.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noah Zamora | 76c | 95.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Noah Zamora | 53c | 90.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Noah Zamora | 43c | 45.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 51c | 41.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Noah Zamora | 57c | 25.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…b690backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 71c | 25.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 48c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Emon Van Loben Sels | 66c | 21.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Noah Zamora | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 55c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Emon Van Loben Sels | 66c | 18.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Noah Zamora | 63c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.