Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817ae0e01a6f0b00603b5e1eb2c374b1667df0b9e58729b602b0d9c60a9f281f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 21c | 3,159$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 1,997$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 22c | 1,092$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 32c | 610.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 418.25$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 389.74$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 75c | 331.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 78c | 221.54$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 218.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 119.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 119.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 16c | 110.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 61c | 83.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 72c | 25.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 77c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.