CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a578b64671f942952436da51a2726b65e0ab87919968fc7d10007b178f2745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 10c | 2,619$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.51 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Brute | 42c | 514$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Brute | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Brute | 29c | 353.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.22 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute | 41c | 238.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NEW VISION | 43c | 232.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Brute | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 19c | 166.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Brute | 29c | 127$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Brute | 15c | 113.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Brute | 28c | 113.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NEW VISION | 58c | 99.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Brute | 45c | 85.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed NEW VISION | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Brute | 47c | 45.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked NEW VISION | 53c | 45.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Brute | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Brute | 36c | 32.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 416 | 47.6%198 W · 218 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Brute | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…a875backed Brute | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NEW VISION | 49c | 23.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed NEW VISION | 80c | 18.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsBrute won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.