Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d0a25c8204c5d75587325a7027d57d91d0bed8ad01c091c866641d989f0c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof Hanwha Life Esports Challengers, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 75c | 5,740$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.6 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 26c | 5,029$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.66 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 25c | 2,896$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.03 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 75c | 2,575$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 24c | 565.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 53c | 240.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 28c | 234$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 25c | 198.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 47c | 177.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 25c | 171.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 27c | 109.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 73c | 88.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 27c | 63.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 29c | 59.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 26c | 56.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 73c | 42.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 47c | 39.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 73c | 34.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 75c | 31.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2DN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports Challengers won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.