Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8206b67c5ed340d0b55de4793a80da26c90b66583f04fb3b0eeaac8c33a132b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,743 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCLA Bruins | 45c | 494.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed UCLA Bruins | 46c | 406.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 400.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 367.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 347.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 323.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 205.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked UCLA Bruins | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed UCLA Bruins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 55c | 195.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 187.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 168.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins | 48c | 134.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UCLA Bruins | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 94.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked UCLA Bruins | 52c | 87.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 65.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 57c | 52.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UCLA Bruins | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UCLA Bruins | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 39c | 39.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCLA Bruins | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 34.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UCLA Bruins | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 21.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCLA Bruins | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-11.5)this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-10.5)UCLA Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.