Tennis · resolved market
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Alex Knaff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825055010da7d160ae0dcdd8e7facd2f307df53cece7dca37c2bdbdb395b4479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Jurij Rodionov, Alex Knaff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,047 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Knaff | 8c | 3,455$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Alex Knaff | 18c | 1,070$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Knaff | 8c | 662.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Alex Knaff | 8c | 526.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Knaff | 20c | 389.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Alex Knaff | 20c | 314.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 302.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 240.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Knaff | 21c | 231.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alex Knaff | 14c | 219.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alex Knaff | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Alex Knaff | 19c | 171.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Knaff | 18c | 169.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Alex Knaff | 22c | 139.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Alex Knaff | 22c | 133.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 108.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Knaff | 14c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Alex Knaff | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 77.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 63.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alex Knaff | 25c | 62.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Alex Knaff | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Alex Knaff | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Knaff | 20c | 52.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 51.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Alex Knaff | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 49.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 31.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 17.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Alex Knaffthis page
- Rodionov vs. Knaff: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.