MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82715493f5cd172702056df1dd280cf807ed42fce7d1a2b6e68a54afb550c02c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 13,650$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 12,673$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.15 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 745.55$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 535$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 488$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 144.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 99.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 86.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…32f5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 86.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 65.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 28.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…779dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.