CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Mansão Maromba - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a55adc005159458c5efd5f405e5cd3033af2c160386e38b5680842d65e9f51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Procyon Gamingof Procyon Gaming, Mansão Maromba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Mansão Maromba | 36c | 207.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Mansão Maromba | 22c | 193.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Procyon Gaming | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Procyon Gaming | 73c | 110.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Mansão Maromba | 26c | 96.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Mansão Maromba | 30c | 94.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mansão Maromba | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Mansão Maromba | 22c | 73.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Procyon Gaming | 74c | 73.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Procyon Gaming | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Procyon Gaming | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…4b22backed Mansão Maromba | 23c | 54.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Mansão Maromba | 27c | 49.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Procyon Gaming | 79c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Mansão Maromba | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…922dbacked Procyon Gaming | 78c | 29.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Procyon Gaming | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Procyon Gaming | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Procyon Gaming | 64c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Procyon Gaming | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Procyon Gaming | 74c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Procyon Gaming | 76c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Mansão Maromba - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Mansão Maromba (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StageProcyon Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Mansão Maromba - Map 1 WinnerProcyon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.