CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82d33219f863d3ac0a6fa5aebd0879381857051b5887b12c674d628c675654fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 49c | 54,333$26,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,808.94 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 48,995$24,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,987.41 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Over | 71c | 656.3$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Under | 58c | 498.65$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 27c | 391.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 380.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 44c | 300.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 49c | 288.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 52c | 250.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 30c | 164.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 17c | 96.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 56c | 89.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Under | 41c | 71.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 24c | 68.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…ebeabacked Over | 48c | 56.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 59c | 54.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…517cbacked Over | 68c | 43.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…c21fbacked Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked Over | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…1f1abacked Under | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Over | 59c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Over | 65c | 15.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 78c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)Passion UA won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.