NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f3f242bdc6691fd5b519647cb461c35fe9fde365adc78aacc01dcc5b2836fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Maple Leafs, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,723$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.41 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 2,026$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Canucks | 41c | 1,974$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.64 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,804$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.31 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 768.89$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.58 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Canucks | 43c | 763.37$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canucks | 42c | 732.03$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.12 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canucks | 44c | 605$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 494.74$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Canucks | 45c | 489.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Canucks | 42c | 470$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 468$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Canucks | 68c | 365.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 41c | 341.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Canucks | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Canucks | 42c | 295.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 265.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Canucks | 40c | 258$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canucks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Canucks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Canucks | 44c | 214.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 209.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4187…d074backed Canucks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…92ecbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Canucks | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 180.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 163.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 131.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Canucks | 43c | 122.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Canucks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Canucks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…1034backed Canucks | 48c | 108$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…5520backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…e9aebacked Canucks | 43c | 107.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…ae60backed Canucks | 42c | 105.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b966backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Canucks | 45c | 105.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…1888backed Canucks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Canucks | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…a53bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 92.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…6d96backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 92.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…5fbbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 88.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 88.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…2a88backed Canucks | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…fd50backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 74.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…9a01backed Canucks | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Canucks | 44c | 68.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 60.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27c6…a1e4backed Canucks | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…98f1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…a9e8backed Canucks | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…ccd1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…ee21backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a22…e04ebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 56.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Canucks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Canucks | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 54.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…79e4backed Canucks | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…fe1fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Canucks | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…d3ebbacked Canucks | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…71dfbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…23abbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…0d8fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…e943backed Canucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…20ecbacked Canucks | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…9544backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 46.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Canucks | 44c | 45.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…a995backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…d80cbacked Canucks | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…64a6backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canucks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Canucks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…7c97backed Canucks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…7680backed Canucks | 48c | 43.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…b18abacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 41.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…c309backed Canucks | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…2c95backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…9e09backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Canucks | 42c | 38.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…d2f0backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…37aabacked Canucks | 44c | 37.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…5790backed Canucks | 45c | 37.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4bc0backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…1d46backed Canucks | 49c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…6060backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 36.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…27dcbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…cc8dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…3bd9backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…01a8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…6a91backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe514…e255backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…701dbacked Canucks | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19d…5b3abacked Canucks | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…76e4backed Canucks | 45c | 34.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.