Tennis · resolved market
ITF Pelham: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Dana Guzman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f7ff4c07b0a79e69d2e35174b637e11c2a6de989817cc2e61f1bcaf8ee5aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dana Guzmanof Alicia Herrero Linana, Dana Guzman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 70c | 299.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dana Guzman | 38c | 240.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dana Guzman | 42c | 141.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dana Guzman | 44c | 70.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 25c | 62.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 46c | 54.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 53c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 58c | 34.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 55c | 34.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Dana Guzman | 35c | 32.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 50c | 26.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 56c | 21.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…3a88backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 69c | 21.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.