Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830bac98f554f3069983d961d964d6d7b6dcb6a76c224a16a78770af5e03ce50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 22c | 1,158$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 947.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed No | 2c | 886.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 425.97$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.91 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…82b3backed Yes | 67c | 392.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 59c | 295.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 188.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 15c | 167.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 63c | 158.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 21c | 140.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 32c | 111.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 73c | 111.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 111$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 100.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 57c | 92.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 67.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 43.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.