Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9152d2a204fb38ef5c4cc265c76974e71b0e6a7c762a7ca5ca70116f8c0eb596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,976 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 11,155$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 9,212$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 76c | 3,300$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 2,478$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,003$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…4f00backed Yes | 1c | 1,966$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 70c | 1,623$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.92 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,591$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 1c | 1,590$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 3c | 1,063$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 657.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 3c | 643.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 16c | 612.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 422.7$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 342.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 244.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 6c | 227.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 5c | 227.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 26cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 165.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 22c | 141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 8c | 136.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 76c | 130.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 75c | 112.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 24c | 94.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…3534backed Yes | 11c | 93.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 91.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…7271backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 53.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc98backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…9ca6backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 71c | 24.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…f7c9backed No | 76c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will SC Braga vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.