Tennis · resolved market
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83455bdb2c9de8152352e9e7c5e1e32c227b18d7ded5a03d3ac644b9dcac8533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Laura Mair, Lucia Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Laura Mair | 7c | 12,273$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.33 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Laura Mair | 3c | 5,961$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Laura Mair | 1c | 5,706$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Laura Mair | 8c | 5,008$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.13 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Laura Mair | 8c | 2,383$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Laura Mair | 6c | 2,308$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Laura Mair | 2c | 2,294$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Laura Mair | 6c | 2,175$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Laura Mair | 3c | 1,452$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Laura Mair | 7c | 1,387$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laura Mair | 5c | 1,032$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Laura Mair | 6c | 1,003$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Laura Mair | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Laura Mair | 3c | 678.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…7316backed Laura Mair | 4c | 666.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…d902backed Laura Mair | 6c | 583.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Laura Mair | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laura Mair | 2c | 492.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Laura Mair | 7c | 470.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Laura Mair | 4c | 413.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Laura Mair | 5c | 293.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Laura Mair | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Laura Mair | 9c | 133.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.