Tennis · resolved market
Split: Duje Ajdukovic vs Gerard Campana Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83971b3ecfa413d9512161c6d56889ac96c541fc48c03254f8e63c1a457efaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duje Ajdukovicof Duje Ajdukovic, Gerard Campana Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,680 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Gerard Campana Lee | 5c | 796.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 669.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 17c | 589.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 266.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gerard Campana Lee | 25c | 246.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Gerard Campana Lee | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gerard Campana Lee | 26c | 185.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Gerard Campana Lee | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 9c | 147.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 9c | 144.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 35c | 135.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 111.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gerard Campana Lee | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Duje Ajdukovic | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Gerard Campana Lee | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 60c | 89.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Gerard Campana Lee | 19c | 83.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 19c | 83.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Duje Ajdukovic | 69c | 72.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Gerard Campana Lee | 25c | 72.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 68.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gerard Campana Lee | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 46.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Gerard Campana Lee | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Gerard Campana Lee | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…a428backed Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…8e42backed Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Duje Ajdukovic | 70c | 24.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Duje Ajdukovic | 70c | 24.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Split: Duje Ajdukovic vs Gerard Campana Leethis page
- Ajdukovic vs. Lee: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.