Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Bohemian FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83cc294ef66f767bdaea3a0f3b035a69d82f2f9ec98ae65b3b1da60fffb72151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St Joseph's FCof Bohemian FC, St Joseph's FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked St Joseph's FC | 63c | 6,340$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.46 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bohemian FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Bohemian FC | 37c | 977.46$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.69 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bohemian FC | 36c | 960.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Bohemian FC | 35c | 627.05$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed Bohemian FC | 34c | 588.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed St Joseph's FC | 67c | 586$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed St Joseph's FC | 68c | 581.92$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Bohemian FC | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bohemian FC | 37c | 367.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Bohemian FC | 35c | 357$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Bohemian FC | 35c | 357$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bohemian FC | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Bohemian FC | 36c | 266.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Bohemian FC | 34c | 260.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bohemian FC | 36c | 195.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bohemian FC | 41c | 148.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked St Joseph's FC | 54c | 145.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Bohemian FC | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Bohemian FC | 33c | 128.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Bohemian FC | 40c | 113.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bohemian FC | 32c | 101.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Bohemian FC | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Bohemian FC | 37c | 73.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Bohemian FC | 38c | 65.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed St Joseph's FC | 67c | 56.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed St Joseph's FC | 64c | 56.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Bohemian FC | 36c | 56.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked St Joseph's FC | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Bohemian FC | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bohemian FC | 34c | 47.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Bohemian FC | 35c | 44.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Bohemian FC | 33c | 44.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed St Joseph's FC | 65c | 43.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed St Joseph's FC | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Bohemian FC | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bohemian FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Bohemian FC (-2.5)St Joseph's FC won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.