CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8421ca3ca0bfa4eacb74bc3f7ede5f8aa2bbc086698bc5418cae62d82cf245b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicão Esportsof FC Famalicão Esports, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons Force | 65c | 2,042$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Falcons Force | 70c | 1,623$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.7 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed FC Famalicão Esports | 56c | 1,013$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed FC Famalicão Esports | 50c | 599.25$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 70c | 546.73$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Falcons Force | 47c | 469.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 465$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.95 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Falcons Force | 53c | 312.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed FC Famalicão Esports | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Falcons Force | 67c | 176.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 172.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed FC Famalicão Esports | 52c | 145.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed FC Famalicão Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed FC Famalicão Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed FC Famalicão Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 42c | 83.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Falcons Force | 48c | 82.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Falcons Force | 44c | 70.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed FC Famalicão Esports | 52c | 70.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Falcons Force | 44c | 57.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed FC Famalicão Esports | 51c | 48.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Falcons Force | 58c | 38.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group CFC Famalicão Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerFC Famalicão Esports won
- Map Handicap: Falcons Force (-1.5) vs FC Famalicão Esports (+1.5)FC Famalicão Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.