Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zvonareva vs Mboko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8422a1be6a0acf988150257e3588ce904311c094e61892e0819284d42d7af4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Zvonareva, Mboko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zvonareva | 1c | 4,465$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mboko | 79c | 332.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zvonareva | 16c | 213.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Zvonareva | 35c | 182.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zvonareva | 20c | 160.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Zvonareva | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Zvonareva | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Zvonareva | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mboko | 61c | 55.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Mboko | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Mboko | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked Mboko | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed Mboko | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Mboko | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed Mboko | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mboko | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Mboko | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Mboko | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Mboko | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Mboko | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Mboko | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…e1dcbacked Mboko | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Mboko | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed Mboko | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…8635backed Mboko | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…8591backed Mboko | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…2ed0backed Mboko | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Mboko | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Mboko | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…c756backed Mboko | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Mboko | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…8751backed Mboko | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked Mboko | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Mboko | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed Mboko | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Mboko | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Mboko | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Mboko | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Mboko | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Mboko | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zvonareva vs Mbokothis page
- Qatar Total Open: Vera Zvonareva vs Victoria MbokoMboko won
- Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Zvonareva (+1.5)Mboko won
- Zvonareva vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zvonareva vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Zvonareva vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.