Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Vera Zvonareva vs Victoria Mboko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102768588a3db0735ca09054418ec266fdbbab113740551f64653dbcdc4c3f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Zvonareva, Mboko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zvonareva | 6c | 10,792$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Zvonareva | 8c | 4,531$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zvonareva | 16c | 4,254$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Zvonareva | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Zvonareva | 13c | 3,090$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.41 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Zvonareva | 6c | 2,595$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Zvonareva | 6c | 1,950$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Zvonareva | 13c | 1,658$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zvonareva | 12c | 1,115$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Zvonareva | 7c | 687.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zvonareva | 11c | 682.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zvonareva | 11c | 565.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Zvonareva | 8c | 495.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Zvonareva | 13c | 441.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zvonareva | 12c | 271.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Zvonareva | 13c | 266.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mboko | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Zvonareva | 13c | 206.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Zvonareva | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Zvonareva | 13c | 190.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Zvonareva | 11c | 182.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Zvonareva | 12c | 167.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zvonareva | 12c | 167.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Zvonareva | 12c | 121.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Zvonareva | 13c | 117$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Zvonareva | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zvonareva | 17c | 109.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zvonareva | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Zvonareva | 14c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Zvonareva | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Zvonareva | 13c | 84.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Mboko | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Vera Zvonareva vs Victoria Mbokothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zvonareva vs MbokoMboko won
- Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Zvonareva (+1.5)Mboko won
- Zvonareva vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zvonareva vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Zvonareva vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.