Other European Leagues · resolved market
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8456132bc0b9aac0219f02c3d7c75f1505a3c7316a9e79d2d43eb0b85b0ab456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Under | 60c | 5,371$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 756$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.3 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 40c | 609$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 609$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 609$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over | 47c | 421.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 61c | 416.8$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 41c | 381.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 327.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 312.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 40c | 289.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 214.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 179.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 132$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 41c | 98.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 51c | 81.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…103bbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.