Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iona Gaels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84932347f40d17e7cd0d089008de8376e62c1ec73534d6c30e58de7ffb15ff61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sacred Heart Pioneersof Iona Gaels, Sacred Heart Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 3,000$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.3 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 49c | 1,707$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 50c | 1,051$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.61 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 556.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 48c | 312.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iona Gaels | 51c | 167.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 76.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 50c | 68.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 49c | 60.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Iona Gaels | 50c | 49.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 48c | 42.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Iona Gaels | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 48c | 34.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-3.5)this page
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona GaelsSacred Heart Pioneers won
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 146.5Over won
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 147.5Over won
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-2.5)Sacred Heart Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.