TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Iona Gaels (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacred Heart Pioneersof Iona Gaels, Sacred Heart Pioneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,147 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers45c2,142$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.5412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Iona Gaels55c1,803$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3457248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Iona Gaels54c1,733$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Iona Gaels55c1,443$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.644245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers45c1,015$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.255,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers48c967.52$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.1140755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed Sacred Heart Pioneers45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sacred Heart Pioneers46c338$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1843,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iona Gaels52c240.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.32,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Iona Gaels57c234.81$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8410150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers47c138.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.553,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605c…e932backed Iona Gaels51c127.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels56c108.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.534,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sacred Heart Pioneers45c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers44c67.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.851,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers44c66.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Sacred Heart Pioneers47c66.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2260954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers45c60.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3222544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sacred Heart Pioneers45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0adc…c214backed Sacred Heart Pioneers47c42.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Iona Gaels56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers44c39.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.218245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Sacred Heart Pioneers48c38.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.124866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers48c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0426550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers46c22.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.