Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849b151441661b656344ae5411a84b2a46df2a2aa641c7ed95a727a5677b0963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,630$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 26c | 961$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.14 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 56c | 646.02$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.73 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 74c | 490.24$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.88 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 27c | 455.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.33 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 321.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Under | 26c | 243.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 72c | 180$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 165$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 75c | 141.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 32c | 68.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 60.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 28c | 54.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Over | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 75c | 22.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 73c | 17.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Kayserispor won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.