Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb255fae9fd86f5b611b9171b5468cf82eea3524189b23abe941434558c7aa344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,763$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.86 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 2,294$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 948.01$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.96 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 548.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 546.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 64c | 221.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 41c | 192.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 47c | 151.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 116.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 58.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 45.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…e697backed Under | 53c | 32.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…2b21backed Over | 48c | 28.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Kayserispor won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.