South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84cc4d3470a130e5e3175414b081306eb599a1dc8b0b1634c182e45ace423672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 21c | 1,563$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 79c | 962.24$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 79c | 724.43$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 78c | 642.72$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 304.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 20c | 285.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 78c | 166.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 21c | 160.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 125.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 80c | 110.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 80c | 74.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 77c | 68.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 79c | 56.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Over | 78c | 36.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 79c | 36.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 79c | 22.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 79c | 20.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 78c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.