South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb716fee569d6105b2eda756c2b3e90125be5b581b1b431532b99f593223d7fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.43 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 1,190$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.94 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 636.48$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 556.31$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 59c | 462.82$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 406.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 337.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 324.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 47c | 304.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 290.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 280.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 263.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.94 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 41c | 260.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 233.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 178.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 59c | 151.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 70c | 116.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 44c | 110.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 103.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 44c | 99.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 41c | 82.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 67c | 78.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 72c | 72.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 62c | 57.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 38c | 55.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 55.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 78c | 52.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 44c | 42.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 44c | 40.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 80c | 39.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 33c | 35.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…8803backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 32.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 50c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 41c | 27.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 25.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 25.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 22.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 75c | 19.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.