Tennis · resolved market
ITF Umag: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Leonardo Borrelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x856f0808d2155e585e7232f6a2ad8dbff71e28d534ac72667c85fe20ec2f534d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leonardo Borrelliof Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei, Leonardo Borrelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leonardo Borrelli | 62c | 119.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | 42c | 118.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 51c | 98.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Leonardo Borrelli | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leonardo Borrelli | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Umag: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Leonardo Borrellithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Amarandei vs BorrelliBorrelli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.