Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Dane Sweeny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a6b470fbe5e62831b38a26bde0784545be58ac23a89c1b151fe9a85423eb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sweenyof Fearnley, Sweeny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fearnley | 39c | 2,159$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.05 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…ccedbacked Sweeny | 66c | 1,820$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Sweeny | 66c | 1,655$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.18 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Fearnley | 65c | 1,550$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sweeny | 55c | 1,474$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fearnley | 37c | 1,408$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sweeny | 51c | 1,370$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fearnley | 32c | 602.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Fearnley | 6c | 586.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sweeny | 68c | 535.16$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Fearnley | 67c | 488.13$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.11 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sweeny | 29c | 399.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sweeny | 30c | 378.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sweeny | 44c | 339$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Fearnley | 49c | 307.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fearnley | 53c | 292$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…899abacked Fearnley | 16c | 277.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sweeny | 29c | 249.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fearnley | 29c | 243.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Fearnley | 71c | 207.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Fearnley | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Fearnley | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Fearnley | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Fearnley | 9c | 194.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…e39bbacked Fearnley | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Sweeny | 71c | 143$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sweeny | 53c | 112.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Fearnley | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Fearnley | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Fearnley | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Fearnley | 58c | 74.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Fearnley | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sweeny | 40c | 65.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fearnley | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Sweeny | 28c | 45.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Fearnley | 23c | 44.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Fearnley | 38c | 43.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fearnley | 34c | 43.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Sweeny | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fearnley | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fearnley | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Fearnley | 70c | 41.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Fearnley | 71c | 37.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Fearnley | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sweeny | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Sweeny | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Sweeny | 59c | 26.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Fearnley | 43c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Fearnley | 58c | 23.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked Sweeny | 54c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Dane Sweenythis page
- Fearnley vs. Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.