Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86cbf3ae32f159eddf70c6304d5d0068fdcc6d564fea3351f77c7196d1035759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 78c | 1,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 736.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 72c | 357.72$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 14c | 345.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 22c | 343.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 23c | 186.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 34c | 99.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 24c | 93.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 75c | 66.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 23c | 59.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 53.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 38.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: SK Torpedo Kutaisi O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK: Zirə FK O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)Zirə FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.