Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Guglielmo Verdese
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86fdf76ade0655ecf6d2a5e8b943f086850345cfcd5b425c36cdb7edff655b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guglielmo Verdeseof Pedro Vives Marcos, Guglielmo Verdese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Guglielmo Verdese | 14c | 380.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 77c | 345.85$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Guglielmo Verdese | 24c | 324.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.94 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 6c | 168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Guglielmo Verdese | 41c | 138.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…9433backed Guglielmo Verdese | 36c | 38.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 63c | 34.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Guglielmo Verdese | 30c | 34.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 66c | 33.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 57c | 27.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Guglielmo Verdesethis page
- Marcos vs. Verdese: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Marcos vs VerdeseVerdese won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.